Risk assessments
In April 2009, ECDC produced an initial assessment of the public health risk to Europe from the newly emerging strain of influenza. This risk assessment has been continually updated as the situation has evolved and more evidence becomes available. It takes into account questions and suggestions from a variety of sources including the European Commission, EU Member States and the World Health Organization.
The risk assessments are strictly evidence-based. Surveillance data, analyses and published information that have been subject to a peer-review process are preferred sources.
ECDC Forward look risk assessment (Update 28 October 2010)
Current 2009 pandemic risk assessment
Pandemic risk assessment (Update 17 December 2009)
Previous 2009 pandemic risk assessments
Pandemic risk assessment (Update 6 November 2009)
Pandemic risk assessment (Update 25 September 2009)
Pandemic risk assessment (Update 21 August 2009)
Pandemic risk assessment (Update 20 July 2009)
Pandemic risk assessment (Update 12 June 2009)
Pandemic risk assessment (Update 20 May 2009)
Pandemic risk assessment (Update 8 May 2009)
Pandemic risk assessment (Update 30 April 2009)
Threat assessments
Reassortment seasonal influenza virus and swine influenza virus in Saskatchewan Canada (July 2009)
First isolation of a secondary oseltamivir-resistant A(H1N1)v strain in Denmark (July 2009)
Human cases of swine influenza without apparent exposure to pigs, United States and Mexico (April 2009)
Influenza of possible swine origin in human in Spain (January 2009)
The 2009 influenza A (H1N1) pandemic site is no longer being updated. However, updated pandemic 2009 evaluations are available on the influenza pandemic preparedness site, together with the summaries of the pandemic. The 2009 influenza A(H1N1) pandemic was declared over in August 2010 by the World Health Organization. Europe has now entered a new inter-pandemic phase of seasonal influenza. For updated information, see the seasonal influenza site. For information regarding pandemic preparedness, including post-pandemic plans, see the influenza pandemic preparedness site.
The 2009 influenza A (H1N1) pandemic site is no longer being updated. However, updated pandemic 2009 evaluations are available on the influenza pandemic preparedness site, together with the summaries of the pandemic.
The 2009 influenza A(H1N1) pandemic was declared over in August 2010 by the World Health Organization. Europe has now entered a new inter-pandemic phase of seasonal influenza. For updated information, see the seasonal influenza site. For information regarding pandemic preparedness, including post-pandemic plans, see the influenza pandemic preparedness site.
Forward look 2009 pandemic risk assessment